Ulf Persson
Programme coordinator
Projected economic burden of pancreatic cancer in Sweden in 2030
Author
Summary, in English
Background: Pancreatic cancer is predicted to become the second most common cause of cancer-related death by 2030. The objective of this study was to estimate the economic burden of pancreatic cancer for the years 2018 and 2030 based on changing demographics and incidence rates in Sweden. Method: The incidence of pancreatic cancer in Sweden and additional relevant data were obtained from official statistics. A linear regression model and the mean incidence rates 2008–2018 were applied to calculate the incidence in 2030. An economic model based on the human capital method was created to calculate the indirect cost of pancreatic cancer in 2018 and 2030. Costs associated with surgery, radiology, oncology, and palliative care constituted the direct costs. A sensitivity analysis was performed. Results: The incidence of pancreatic cancer in Sweden in the year 2018 was 1352 patients and projected to between 1554 (+15%) and 1736 (+28%) in 2030. The total cost was calculated to €125 million in 2018 and between €210 million (+68%) and €225 million (+80%) in 2030. The indirect cost in the ≤65-year-old group was €328,344 in 2018 and between €380,738 and €382,109 per individual in 2030. Conclusions: The economic burden of pancreatic cancer is expected to increase in Sweden by 2030 due to the increasing incidence of the disease and changing demographics. Pancreatic cancer is a growing health care problem in urgent need of advancements in prevention, early detection, treatment, and control of the disease.
Department/s
- Surgery (Lund)
- LUCC: Lund University Cancer Centre
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery
- Department of Economics
Publishing year
2021
Language
English
Pages
866-871
Publication/Series
Acta Oncologica
Volume
60
Issue
7
Document type
Journal article
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Topic
- Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy
Keywords
- 2030
- economic burden
- Pancreatic cancer
- projections
- Sweden
Status
Published
Project
- Reducing the Burden of Pancreatic Cancer
Research group
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery
ISBN/ISSN/Other
- ISSN: 0284-186X